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Polls predict Mayawati exit in UP, SP is clear leader of the pack!Stakes are very High in UP.whatever may be the final verdict, it would certainly reflect the sentiments of the market. As Rahul Gandhi`s future course of politics is connected and made

Polls predict Mayawati exit in UP, SP is clear leader of the pack!Stakes are very High in UP.whatever may be the final verdict, it would certainly reflect the sentiments of the market. As Rahul Gandhi`s future course of politics is connected and made the greatest hype, the ultimate Truth is hidden that the Corpoarte India is the Final Authority to finalise Election results in Free Market India. Second Generation of Reforms are on the stakes. If Congress Mulayam alliance eventually takes over the helms in UP, UPA Second would get rid of both Mayawati and Mamata Banerjee, mainstay irritants for the most wanted reforms. Earlier the market forces untied to topple the Marxists in West Bengal as well as the Mandate was Manipulted in Loksabha Elections also wherein Media, Inteligentsia, Market forces polarised the Votebanks to ensure the win of Neo Liberal lord Krishna, Dr Manmohan singh!

Indian Holocaust My Father`s Life and Time - EIGHT HUNDRED SIX

Palash Biswas

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Polls predict Mayawati exit in UP, SP is clear leader of the pack!Stakes are very High in UP.whatever may be the final verdict, it would certainly reflect the sentiments of the market. As Rahul Gandhi`s future course of politics is connected and made the greatest hype, the ultimate Truth is hidden that the Corpoarte India is the Final Authority to finalise Election results in Free Market India. Second Generation of Reforms are on the stakes. If Congress Mulayam alliance eventually takes over the helms in UP, UPA Second would get rid of both Mayawati and Mamata Banerjee, mainstay irritants for the most wanted reforms. Earlier the market forces untied to topple the Marxists in West Bengal as well as the Mandate was Manipulted in Loksabha Elections also wherein Media, Inteligentsia, Market forces polarised the Votebanks to ensure the win of Neo Liberal lord Krishna, Dr Manmohan singh!

Once again the Equations are doctored very well as Almost all exit polls predict that the Samajwadi Party (SP) would be the single largest party in the 403-member Uttar Pradesh Assembly, but would not have the numbers to form a government on its own and would have to seek the help of an ally.


A highest ever voter turnout marked the staggered Assembly elections in five states which ended today with Uttar Pradesh and Goa joining Punjab and Uttarakhand in breaking all previous records.The Samajwadi Party is the frontrunner to form the government in Uttar Pradesh, exit polls on television channels predicted on Saturday evening after voting in the last phase of elections ended with a record voting by 60 percent of its 127 million voters.

     Counting of votes in the elections in the five stateswhich also included Manipur will be taken up on March six as political parties wait with bated breath to know the fall out of rise in voter turnout in the polls billed as a mini general election. A high turnout is often seen as a sign of anti-incumbency, according to pollsters.

Exit polls on television channels on Saturday projected Samajwadi Party emerging as the single largest party in Uttar Pradesh assembly poll with one of them giving it a clear majority while Congress is set to have a clear edge in Punjab, Uttarakhand and Manipur.

In Goa, one of the channels has predicted an edge to BJP over ruling Congress.

In widely-watched Uttar Pradesh, ruling BSP appears to be taking a knock while BJP is projected to nudge Congress to the fourth place.

Star News-AC Neilson exit poll showed SP emerging as the single largest party with 183 seats, followed by BSP with 83 seats.

According to it, BJP would win 71 seats, Congress 51 and its ally RLD 11 seats. Independents and others are shown victorious in two seats each.

Headlines Today exit polls showed SP getting between 195 and 210 seats followed by BSP with 88-98 seats. It showed BJP getting 50-56 seats followed by Cong-RLD combine with 38-42. The exit poll showed Independents and others securing 12-18 seats.

India TV-C-Voter exit poll showed SP emerging as the single largest party with 137-145 seats, closely followed by BSP with 122-130 seats.

It showed BJP winning 79-87 seats, Congress-RLD winning 39-55 seats and Others getting 2-10 seats.

Exit poll by News24 and Today's Chanakya showed SP winning 185 seats with an error margin of 18 seats.

They predicted BSP to win 85 seats, BJP 55 and Congress 55. The error margin for the three parties was 15 seats. Others were shown getting 23 seats with an error margin of 17.

In Goa, the India TV-C-Voter exit poll projected BJP getting 20 seats followed by Congress with 17. Others were shown emerging victorious in three seats.

The same team forecast a Congress victory in Punjab (65) followed by the Akali Dal-BJP combine winning 47 and others getting five.

In Uttarakhand, the News24-Today's Chankya gave Congress an edge with 30 seats and the BJP getting 28. Others were given 12 seats.

The same team forecast a win for the Congress in Punjab with the party getting 60 seats followed by the Akali Dal-BJP combine getting 52. Others were projected to win five seats.

In Manipur the team forecast a Congress win with 25 seats followed by NCP (10 seats) and Trinamool Congress getting nine seats.

     Voting in the seven-phased Assembly elections in the politically sensitive state of UP was at all time high recording an overall turnout of around 60 per cent with the last phase for 60 seats in ten districts today registering 62 per cent polling. Some of the pockets which went to polls today have a sizeable Muslim population.

     "The turnout in Uttar Pradesh was highest at around 60 per cent, recording an increase of 30.23 per cent over the 2007 turnout," Chief Election Commissioner S Y Quraishi told reporters in Delhi. He described as historic the high turnout.

     UP had recorded a turnout of only 46.07 per cent in theprevious assembly polls in 2007. The highest voter turnout so far was in 1993 when 57.13 per cent voters cast their ballots.

     In the 2007 assembly polls in the districts covered by today's polling,  BSP had emerged as the biggest party bagging 27 seats, while SP and BJP had got 17 and nine seats respectively.

     In the coastal state of Goa, a record 81 per cent voters cast their ballots. The previous highest voting in the state was in 2007 when 70.51 per cent voters had voted.

     A booth in Dovorlim locality near Margao reported 100 per cent voting by 3.30 pm, 90 minutes before the close of polling. Two booths, one in Poriem and another in Sankhalim constituency, had recorded 95 per cent voting by 4 pm.

    Polling in Punjab and Uttarakhand was held on January 30 and in Manipur on January 28.

    Voter turnout in Punjab and Uttarakhand was put at 77 per cent and 70 per cent respectively compared to the previous highest of around 76 per cent and 63 per cent, both recorded in the 2007 Assembly polls.

    Manipur recorded a 82 per cent voter turnout compared to 84 per cent in the previous polls.

The Samajwadi Party seems to be on the verge of forming the next government in the Uttar Pradesh Assembly Elections. Going by a STAR News-Nielsen Exit poll, the party is just 19 seats short of the 202 seats needed to form the government.

If the party allies with the Congress or the BJP, it will easily cross this magical figure bringing to an end Mayawati's reign in the state. According to the STAR News-Nielsen Exit poll, the BSP, which had bagged the lion's share of the seats in the 2007 Assembly Elections seems to have been left high and dry this time after Maya's inability to secure her voters' loyalties and Mulayam Singh's persistence in wooing them.

The exit poll, conducted in 202 constituencies of the state, predicts 183 seats for the SP in the 403 member house, 83 seats for the BSP-a massive drop from their share of 206 seats in 2007 elections; 71 seats for the BJP and 62 seats for the Congress-RLD alliance. The SP is just 19 seats short of 202 seats needed to form the government.

In vote share, BSP is predicted to get only 24% from its 30.43% in the 2007 elections. SP's vote share is 27%, an increase from 25.43% in 2007. Congress alone gets 16% but Congress-RLD in alliance is getting 19% vote share. The BJP is slated to get 19% of the votes, Independents: 3% and others 8% of the voters' share.

Region-wise share of seats for each party

Bundelkhand: The exit poll shows SP and BSP will bag 5 seats each, Congress 4 seats, BJP: 3 seats, others 2 of the 19 seats contributed by the region.

Awadh: The STAR News-Nielsen Exit poll for central UP predicts SP will lead with 32 seats out of the 63 seats contributed by the region, Congress bags 16 seats, BJP-9 seats, BSP secures 6 seats and none for any of the other parties.

Western UP: In the western region of the state, STAR News-Nielsen predicts, Samajwadi Party will lead with 59 seats, BJP will has a strong hold with 34  seats, BSP to compete with 32 seats, RLD with 11, Congress to manage only 8 seats. Independents manage only one while other small parties again do not manage to inspire their presence.  The region contributes 145 seats to the house.

Eastern UP: In the Eastern region of Uttar Pradesh, STAR News-Nielsen predicts, Samajwadi Party will lead with 87 seats, BSP manages to win 40 seats, BJP will secure 25 seats, Congress will bag 23 seats. RLD will secure 11 seats, Independents manage a seat while other small parties can manage none.  The region contributes 176 seats- the largest share in the house.

Samajwadi Party is thus on the verge of forming the government. If Congress gives them outside support then it is likely that Akhilesh Yadav will step the ladders of becoming the Chief Minister. On the other hand Mayawati has received the biggest jolt in the state after losing seats, power and respect from the Dalits if we go by the results of the exit poll.

Jolt for the Congress

The Congress has suffered the biggest set-back. Even though its seat share has increased by three times, however, in comparison to the 2009 Assembly Elections the party has lost 40 seats. Rahul was to have worn the victory crown but will now have to transfer the burden of his loss to Digvijay Singh and other party leaders.

On the other hand, the BJP seems to have emerged as the dark horse. Everybody had ousted BJP's chances from the state polls; however, Nitin Gadkari's decision to make Joshi in-charge of the Uttar Pradesh assembly elections has come out as a boon for the party.

It's a Samajwadi Party (SP) wave in Uttar Pradesh. In what is most likely to be one of the biggest electoral victories in UP in the last 20 years, Mulayam Singh Yadav's SP is bound to surprise by garnering an impressive 34 per cent of the votes in the Assembly elections 2012. The CNN-IBN-The Week post-poll survey conducted by CSDS also says that a vote-share of 34 per cent for the SP means the party is ahead of its rivals by an unprecedented 10 per cent of the total votes polled in UP.

In the four-cornered battle for UP, other parties are far behind the Samajwadi Party in terms of vote share. The survey says BSP may have a vote share of 24 per cent as opposed to 30 per cent in 2007, BJP 14 per cent as opposed to 17 in 2007 and Congress finishing at the fourth position with an estimated 12 per cent vote share compared to 13 per cent in 2007.
Interestingly, Rahul Gandhi, despite the Congress' bad performance in the survey, remains a favourite of the voters. 38 per cent of the voters surveyed said they have more faith in Rahul, followed by 21 per cent for Mulayam Singh Yadav's son, Akhilesh Yadav. Mulayam was also the top choice for the Chief Minister's post with 34 per cent of the voters opting for the SP chief, as opposed to Mayawati (22 per cent) and Rahul Gandhi (8 per cent). Despite the wave, only 2 per cent of the voters wanted Akhilesh as the CM of the state.

However, senior SP leader Shahid Siddiqui told CNN-IBN that Akhilesh Yadav can also be the party's choice for the Chief Minister's post.

UP has always been the most watched assembly election in India. The CSDS poll, conducted in 83 constituencies across the state, also reveals that the Mayawati-led BSP government was unpopular with almost half of the electorate. 50 per cent of the voters said the BSP should not get another chance, while only 26 per cent favoured a return of Mayawati as the Chief Minister.

UP is a large state with four important regions: The SP wave, mostly being credited to Mulayam's son Akhilesh Yadav, can be seen in all these regions with the party leading all its rivals in the four regions: Poorvanchal (12 per cent), Awadh (9 per cent), Paschim Pradesh (6 per cent) and Bundelkhand (6 per cent). Except Bundelkhand where Congress is the second leading party, it's the BSP in the other regions that is behind the Samajwadi Party.

Meanwhile, senior Congress leader Digvijaya Singh, in an interview to CNN-IBN, said he was confident of the party getting more than 125 seats in the UP polls. He challenged the findings of the poll and said he would rather wait for March 6, the day of the counting of votes.

UP voted in the last phase of the seven-phase assembly elections on Saturday. The state this year witnessed a high percentage of polling, with Saturday's polling at 62 per cent. The overall polling percentage in the state is 60.

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